Navy
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 93.9869Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.3) 17- 7 214 A Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 8-12 217 H VMI NEC ( 7- 7, 87.0) 19-12 221 H Penn State B1G ( 9- 5, 99.2) 12-11 228 A Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 10-15 307 H Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 16-12 310 A Jacksonville ASUN (10- 5, 95.9) 10- 9 314 A Johns Hopkins B1G ( 9- 5, 96.5) 10-14 320 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5- 9, 90.6) 15- 9 328 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 93.0) 15-16 404 H Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 6- 8, 90.3) 20-13 411 A Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 9-14 418 A Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 7-19 424 H Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Iona 17- 7 10 11 0.00
214 A Towson 8-12 -4 -3 -1.28
217 H VMI 19-12 7 8 0.00
221 H Penn State 12-11 1 -4 ++ 4.87
228 A Boston University 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.93
307 H Bucknell 16-12 4 3 0.55
310 A Jacksonville 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.26
314 A Johns Hopkins 10-14 -4 -4 -0.16
320 A Lafayette 15- 9 6 2 + 3.99
328 H Colgate 15-16 -1 2 - -3.36
404 H Holy Cross (MA) 20-13 7 5 1.91
411 A Army West Point 9-14 -5 -5 0.43
418 A Lehigh 7-19 -12 -2 -- -4.88
424 H Loyola 12-13 -1 1 - -2.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Lehigh 7-19 -12 -2 -- -4.88 228 A Boston University 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.93 328 H Colgate 15-16 -1 2 - -3.36 424 H Loyola 12-13 -1 1 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Penn State 12-11 1 -4 ++ 4.87 310 A Jacksonville 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.26 320 A Lafayette 15- 9 6 2 + 3.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Iona ( 2-15, 84.3) 17- 7 -15.64 4.95 -1.38 1.02 7.32
3 A Towson (11- 4, 95.3) 8-12 -4.57 16.03 1.38 1.02 -1.63
3 H VMI ( 7- 7, 87.0) 19-12 -12.89 7.71 -1.38 1.02 12.95
3 H Penn State ( 9- 5, 99.2) 12-11 -0.67 19.93 -1.38 1.02 37.94
3 A Boston Univers ( 8- 6, 94.7) 10-15 -5.22 15.38 1.38 1.02 -1.96
3 H Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 16-12 -7.99 12.61 -1.38 1.02 22.97
3 A Jacksonville (10- 5, 95.9) 10- 9 -4.03 16.57 1.38 1.02 36.68
3 A Johns Hopkins ( 9- 5, 96.5) 10-14 -3.45 17.15 1.38 1.02 -1.06
3 A Lafayette ( 5- 9, 90.6) 15- 9 -9.29 11.30 1.38 1.02 25.92
3 H Colgate ( 6- 9, 93.0) 15-16 -6.90 13.70 -1.38 1.02 -4.23
3 H Holy Cross (MA ( 6- 8, 90.3) 20-13 -9.63 10.97 -1.38 1.02 19.61
3 A Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 9-14 -1.86 18.74 1.38 1.02 -0.25
3 A Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 7-19 -5.16 15.43 1.38 1.02 -1.94
3 H Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 12-13 -5.58 15.02 -1.38 1.02 -3.56
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148.76
|
winning pts = 163.3910 losing points = -14.6274
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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